The 2026 NHL offseason is set for dramatic trades as salary cap constraints force star forwards onto the block. Analysis of potential blockbusters, team needs, and deadline dynamics.
The NHL salary cap is projected to rise only $4.5 million for the 2026-27 season, the smallest increase in three years. That stagnation will compel several cap-strapped teams to move high-priced talent before the puck drops. The Maple Leafs, with William Nylander carrying an $11.5 million AAV, and the Oilers, with Evander Kane at $5.125 million, are prime candidates to shed contracts. Ottawa’s Tim Stützle ($8.35 million AAV) could also become available if the Senators fail to extend their core amid internal budget limits.
The cap increase is the smallest in three years, forcing teams to offload star salaries or risk non-compliance.
Teams with ample cap space — Anaheim, Chicago, and Columbus — are poised to act as brokers, absorbing large contracts in exchange for draft picks and prospects. This dynamic mirrors the transfer market in European soccer, where financial flexibility dictates player movement. As Bruno Guimaraes’ potential £100m move shows, high-value assets command premium returns.
The bidding for these forwards will likely accelerate after the draft, once cap projections firm up and teams finalize their budgets.
San Jose and Montreal are in distinct rebuild phases and hold veteran assets that contenders covet. The Sharks’ Mikael Granlund, a pending UFA who posted 33 points in 49 games, could fetch a first-round pick at the deadline if retained. Montreal’s Mike Matheson ($4.875 million AAV, one year left) draws interest from teams needing a left-shot puck-mover, and the Habs are motivated to clear a path for prospect Lane Hutson.
Chicago, still two years from contention, will shop Seth Jones — with retained salary — to accumulate futures. The Blackhawks have already signaled their willingness to facilitate trades for the right price, much like baseball clubs in seller mode. As rivalries reset and rosters turn over in MLB, the NHL sees a similar phenomenon where rebuilders prioritize draft capital over immediate wins.
These moves are designed to accelerate rebuilds without sacrificing long-term flexibility.
Winnipeg’s Connor Hellebuyck, a Vezina finalist with one year left on his deal, is unlikely to re-sign. That makes him the top rental target for teams desperate for elite goaltending — the Devils and Oilers are the most aggressive suitors. Nashville’s Juuse Saros, with three years at $5 million AAV, could also move if the Predators pivot to youth; his contract is value-friendly, but Nashville will demand a premium return.
Connor Hellebuyck’s rental value is unmatched; a trade could reshape the playoff picture for the next two seasons.
The Kraken’s Philipp Grubauer ($5.9 million AAV, three years) is a potential salary dump. Seattle may attach an asset to move him, freeing cap space for a pending RFA like Matty Beniers. Goalie trades always carry risk, but the returns for elite netminders in recent years — including the 2023 deadline — suggest a robust market.
The goalie market will develop slowly, but a move before training camp is likely.