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Met Office forecasts heavy downpours across Wales this weekend after weeks of heatwave and drought. See maps, timing, and impact on travel and outdoor plans.
After weeks of heatwave conditions and tinder-dry ground, Wales is set for a significant change in weather this weekend. The Met Office forecasts that a band of rain will move in on Sunday afternoon, bringing the first substantial downpour in over a month. For a region that has seen drought status declared and wildfires burning for days, the rain is a double-edged sword: welcome for parched landscapes, but disruptive for outdoor plans and travel.
According to Met Office weather maps, Wednesday, July 29, is expected to be the wettest day of the month so far. Isolated showers will continue through the end of July, but the real change arrives at the start of August. The band of rain is predicted to sweep across much of Wales on Sunday afternoon, marking the first widespread downpour in weeks.
The rain will be heaviest in the west and north, but all areas should expect wet conditions. Sunday is also forecast to be the coolest day of the weekend, with temperatures returning closer to average for the time of year, and a little below average in some places.
Anyone with outdoor plans this weekend should prepare for disruption. The sudden arrival of heavy rain after a prolonged dry spell can cause localised flooding, especially where the ground has hardened. Roads may become slippery, and visibility could be reduced during the heaviest downpours. Travel delays are possible, particularly on Sunday afternoon and evening.
The rain comes at a time when fire services have been warning about the risk of wildfires. A serious wildfire in Blaenavon has been burning for over 10 days, with smoke visible for miles. While the rain will help dampen the immediate risk, it may not be enough to fully extinguish deep-seated fires or end the drought conditions.
Natural Resources Wales (NRW) confirmed last week that drought status had been declared in North Wales and the Upper Severn, the first such declarations in the UK this summer. Hosepipe bans have been introduced in some areas. The dry conditions have left hillsides scorched and river flows at record lows.
The weekend rain will provide some relief, but the Met Office long-range forecast for Monday, August 3, to Wednesday, August 12, indicates a more changeable period with a greater chance of rain for areas that have seen prolonged dry weather. However, rainfall amounts are uncertain, and it is not yet clear whether the rain will be enough to end the drought.
The unsettled spell is not expected to last long. The Met Office says that dry weather and sunny periods are likely to return on Monday and continue into midweek for much of southern UK. Many parts of England and Wales are likely to return to the mid to high twenties Celsius early next week, with the potential for temperatures to reach 30°C again in southern and eastern England by Tuesday.
For North Wales, a fourth heatwave is potentially looming. Temperatures are set to reach the 25°C threshold over three consecutive days from Tuesday to Thursday, which would see it officially declared a heatwave. The highest temperature is forecast in the Wrexham area on Wednesday afternoon at 27°C. Forecasts are subject to change, but if correct, it will be the fourth heatwave this summer.
The weekend rain is a reminder that even after prolonged heat, the weather can turn quickly. Whether you are planning a trip to the coast, a hike in the hills, or simply a garden barbecue, Sunday looks like a day to stay indoors and let the rain do its work.
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